2015 MLB Draft Tracker. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. site: sports | arena: mlb | pageType: players | Publicly available metrics simply do not give proper credit to a pitcher who stifles batted ball authority like Yarbrough does. That’s a whole different story. What was a “C+” pitch in 2018 became a “B+” pitch in 2019. 4 of a baseball American League Division Series Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2019, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara), EY & Citi On The Importance Of Resilience And Innovation, Impact 50: Investors Seeking Profit — And Pushing For Change. 2016 MLB Mock Draft Database. Though he’s 28 years old and has been in the club’s rotation the past two seasons, he hasn’t exactly drawn a lot of attention. Owns excellent movement with his pitches, generating plenty of deception. Adjusted Contact Score is a metric of mine that measures the relative level of production a pitcher “should have” allowed based on the exit speed and launch angle of his individual batted ball mix. Rays' Ryan Yarbrough: Picks up win in Game 3, Rays' Ryan Yarbrough: No-decision as primary pitcher, Ryan Yarbrough is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $7.6K and DraftKings at $9.4K on 9/2, Ryan Yarbrough is Projected to Be the #44 Starting Pitcher...Behind Lance Lynn and Ahead of Mike Fiers the Rest of the Season, Ryan Yarbrough is Projected to Be the #40 Starting Pitcher...Behind Jon Lester and Ahead of Homer Bailey the Rest of the Season, Ryan Yarbrough is Projected to Be the #46 Starting Pitcher...Behind Masahiro Tanaka and Ahead of Homer Bailey the Rest of the Season. Justin Hooper MLB Draft Prospect Profile. Looking at Yarbrough’s performance from a pitch-specific perspective offers some insights as well. That was a big move for the lefty, as his sinker is clearly his worst pitch. Part of the reason for that is, well, it’s the Rays. I don’t necessarily see Yarbrough as a 200-inning stud, but on a per-inning basis, there are few hurlers who I expect to produce better quality over 160-180 frames. Below the projection are actual stats from last season. Browse Icon Sportswire for more incredible images of Ryan Yarbrough. You might find his career mainstream numbers surprisingly good - he has a 27-12 record and a 4.02 ERA, with a career FIP- of 92. If I asked you to make a list of the top 25 starting pitchers in the AL, my guess is that Rays’ southpaw Ryan Yarbrough wouldn’t be included. In 2019, both his Fly Ball Adjusted Contact Score of 58 and Line Drive Adjusted Contact Score of 82 were both the very best in the AL. Scouting Report. If it could have gone wrong for him in April, it did. His 8.44 projected fantasy points puts him at #112 behind Cristian Javier and ahead of Jake Arrieta. Right Wing — shoots Right Born December 2nd, 2001 — Beaver Bank, Nova Scotia Height 5’9″ — Weight 168 lbs [175 cm / 76 kg] Skating. Ryan Yarbrough to the GM for the Milwaukee Brewers and Seattle Mariners. According to our projection, you can expect Ryan Yarbrough to be a bench player or a good option off the waiver wire. Further, Yarbrough's ERA jumped from 2.63 the first time through to 4.29 the second time through (as a reliever), which suggests that both Yarbrough and the team may be better off shortening him up. Yarbrough has never pitched enough innings in a season to qualify for an ERA title. I combine traditional scouting with cutting-edge analytics to offer a unique perspective on major/minor league and amateur baseball talent evaluation. Pretty good, but not in-your-face good. Dallas Keuchel led qualifying AL starters with an 82 Adjusted Contact Score in 2018, Wade Miley led the pack at 79 in 2019. Owns excellent movement with his pitches, generating plenty of deception. That’s about the only blemish in his career record once you put his 2018-19 performance under a batted ball-based microscope. So when you’re looking for clubs with depth in playoff quality pitching that can win in October, don’t sleep on the Tampa Bay Rays and their troika of horses in Morton, Blake Snell and Yarbrough. His sinking fastball/changeup combination can be devastating for hitters. Needs to continue to work on his slider in order to maximize output in Major League Baseball. All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience. And did I mention that he isn’t even arbitration-eligible until next off-season? Tampa Bay Rays relief pitcher Ryan Yarbrough throws out Houston Astros' Michael Brantley during Game ... [+] 4 of a baseball American League Division Series Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2019, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara). All Rights Reserved. He has averaged 1.89 fantasy points in his past 28 games, which is more than our projected per game average. section: | slug: | sport: baseball | route: player_page | Is tough on left-handed batters. 2016 San Francisco Giants Top Prospects Chat. Otherwise, he may become a situational lef-hander at the highest level (instead of a quality starter). He was sent down to Triple-A after five appearances to begin the season with an 8.10 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He’s an especially excellent contact manager. MLB Top Prospects. Week 4 will not be as good based on projected rank (#215). Yarbrough is admittedly about league average at the first and most important of those disciplines, but is off-the-charts elite at the latter two. No one goes to their games and despite their presence in the AL East, their media footprint is one of the sport’s tiniest. The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. For my money, his best pitches are his cutter and curve. He is projected for -0.97 fantasy points. DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub. Kolby Allard Scouting Report. Triple-A National Championship scouting report By Conor Foley / Staff writer; Sep 18, 2017 Sep 18, ... Ryan Yarbrough. His “Tru” ERA-, or his Adjusted Contact Score with the Ks and BBs added in, of 87 and 68 over the past two seasons are much better than his 103 and 81 FIP- marks. Another reason is the way in which he has been utilized. The sample size is much smaller with Yarbrough’s curve, but the contact management results are even better (66 and 41 pitch-specific Adjusted Contact Score in 2018-19). Needs more bulk. Contact authority? Yarbrough isn’t an opener - he’s often the guy who follows the opener. I have been active in the baseball industry for about a quarter century (after beginning my career as a CPA), mostly as an Area Scout/Assistant Scouting Director/Special Asst. Owns a big frame (6-5). He posted a 3.8% swing-and-miss rate and a 111 Adjusted Contact Score on it in 2018, earning a “C+” pitch grade under my system. That excellence cuts across all batted ball types - his average fly ball (87.2 and 84.9 MPH) and line drive (89.6 and 87.9 MPH) exit speeds were also over two standard deviations better in both seasons, and his average grounder exit speeds (82.9 and 82.5 MPH) were over one full standard deviation better. Yarbrough worked in the bulk role again in 2019, but early on, his season was disastrous. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub. • #48 • P. © 2020 XML Team Solutions, LLC. His sinking fastball/changeup combination can be devastating for hitters. Good enough, in fact, that he would have been the AL Contact Manager of the Year in both 2018 and 2019 if he had pitched 162 innings or more. That’s over two full standard deviations lower than league average. Factor in the caliber of the offenses in his own division and Yarbrough looks like a low-upside pitcher with the downside of a true middle reliever, so waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. Once you do so, Yarbrough emerges as one of the AL’s best starters. MLB Draft 2015 Bio's & Notes. That sinker was hit very hard this April, earning him a demotion to Triple-A. By season’s end, it was a slightly improved offering, with a 6.0% whiff rate and a 120 Adjusted Contact Score, a borderline “B/C+” pitch. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. He is ranked above Brandon Bielak but behind Jaime Barria. Its whiff rate spiked from 12.9% to 18.1%, and its Adjusted Contact Score plunged from 103 to 63. Ryan Yarbrough manages contact as well as anybody, walks no one, and isn't even arbitration-eligible until 2021. Owns a big frame (6-5). And let’s not overlook the changeup, his most improved pitch in 2019. Ryan Yarbrough - #48 - Relief Pitcher - Tampa Bay Rays - Get the latest news, highlights, and career stats for Ryan Yarbrough from CBSSports.com. He posted matching Adjusted Contact Scores of 72 in both seasons, in 147 1/3 and 141 2/3 innings pitched, respectively. Player: Primary Pos: Evaluator: Report Date: OFP: CJ Abrams: SS: Keanan Lamb: 06/01/2019 In fact, despite his relative innings pitched shortfall, I ranked him as the AL’s 7th best starting pitcher in 2019, behind only Gerrit Cole, Justin Verlander, Charlie Morton, Lance Lynn, Lucas Giolito and Chris Sale. © 2004-2020 CBS Interactive. As I indicated earlier this week in this piece on the Indians’ Mike Clevinger (who incidentally ranked 9th in my list of top AL starters in 2019), the best contact managers often have go-to batted ball type frequency tendencies, i.e., they induce a bunch of pop ups or grounders.
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